5
Noe Des Baux
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Px Fidelidade Assurances (px De Troyes) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -8.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 03/11/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 08/02/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |