8
Novecento
3yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Px Fidelidade Assurances (px De Troyes) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vincennes | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Enghien | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 86% | +0.80 |
| 24/01/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 06/05/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/09/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |