15

Gims Du Plessis
10yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Grand Prix Du Portugal (ovidius Naso) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Angers | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Enghien | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Vincennes | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength48%
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/12/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 31/12/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 09/09/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |