10
Hamilton Du Ham
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Grand Prix Du Portugal (ovidius Naso) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vincennes | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-13 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength93%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2025 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 31/12/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 02/05/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |