11
Iron Du Gers
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Grand Prix Du Portugal (ovidius Naso) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#3
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vincennes | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 13-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 56% | -0.27 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 8/13 | 97% | 63% | -0.34 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 78% | -0.16 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 58% | -0.23 |