7
Malice Caillerie
4yo Filly · 9-8
Vincennes · Prix Des Elites - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 1 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 14/01/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 14/02/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 22/04/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 27/05/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 31/10/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |