8
Marilou
4yo Filly · 9-8
Vincennes · Prix Des Elites - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vincennes | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength20%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.16 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 06/11/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 92% | -0.05 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 09/07/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |