10

Midway Lady
4yo Filly · 9-8
Vincennes · Prix Des Elites - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#11
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vincennes | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Enghien | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Enghien | 1 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 07/02/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 45% | -0.39 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |