12
Miss Des Besaces
4yo Filly · 9-8
Vincennes · Prix Des Elites - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Vincennes | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Vincennes | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength68%
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 88% | +0.32 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |