1

Molly White
4yo Filly · 9-8
Vincennes · Prix Des Elites - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#12
Rank
Odds
75/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Cabourg | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength47%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 19/10/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 04/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 30/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 10/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 90% | +0.35 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 79% | +0.73 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 19/09/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |