11
Munhoa Vedaquaise
4yo Filly · 9-8
Vincennes · Prix Des Elites - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/5
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Enghien | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-24 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 24/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 31/01/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 17/02/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 82% | -0.01 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |