13
Insolent Somolli
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Radio Latina (d'argeles) - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Feurs | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Marseille-borely | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 93% | +0.03 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 18/12/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 08/01/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 20/03/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 94% | +0.28 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 58% | +0.53 |