10
Hatlas De Moutiers
9yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix D'arles - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Divonne Les Bains | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Marseille | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Marseille-borely | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 11/05/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 90% | +0.85 |
| 06/06/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 17/09/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |
| 23/11/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 11/12/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/01/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |