1
Hega Des Landiers
9yo Mare · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix D'arles - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#1
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
92%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Vichy | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-16 | Cabourg | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Enghien | 7 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mauquenchy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 09/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 16/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/07/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 07/09/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/09/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 8% | -0.29 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |