4
Ideal Mossa
8yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix D'arles - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Amiens | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-05 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength32%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 04/03/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 05/05/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 14/08/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |