3
Ivarun
8yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix D'arles - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-26 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 10/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 25/08/2025 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 77% | -0.17 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 92% | -0.01 |
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 26/03/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 07/09/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |