8

Lylou Des Thuyas
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Tours - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Amiens | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 10/03/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 16/04/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 08/06/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 46% | -0.22 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 87% | +0.08 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |