3
Mouskie De Guez
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Tours - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#2
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Vincennes | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Vincennes | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-11 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-03 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-12 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2024 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 26/07/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 01/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/11/2025 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 82% | -0.13 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |