Dark Screen
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 97
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/11/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |