Light The Lamp
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 100
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
35%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | -1th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 27/07/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/11/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |