2
Masseto
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 103
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
52%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-12-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2024 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 20/10/2024 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 15/11/2024 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 21/12/2024 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |