Mentee
4yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 92
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Del Mar | ? | 12th | 6th | +5 |
| 2024-10-04 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | -5th | +5 |
| 2024-09-02 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 0th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2024 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 02/09/2024 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 04/10/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/11/2024 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 06/03/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 14% | -0.74 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 05/06/2026 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 9% | -0.67 |