6
Urban Legend
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 99
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength9%
Delivery trend +6.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 28/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 30/08/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 05/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |