War Strategy
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 102
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 2nd | +5 |
| 2025-06-23 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 20/10/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 22/05/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 23/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 16/08/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 25% | -0.67 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |