Beau Pink

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 65

Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

90%

Place Prob

66%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength44%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.8

Today:

Class gap: +0.7

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-10	Woodbine	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-08-20	Woodbine	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-07-30	Woodbine	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-07-05	Woodbine	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-06-13	Woodbine	?	4th	2nd	+2	8.4
2026-05-29	Woodbine	?	3rd	1st	+2	9.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▬

Strength70%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
20/09/2025	6th	8/1	58%	0%	-0.58
29/05/2026	3rd	12/1	37%	71%	+0.35
13/06/2026	4th	9/1	53%	50%	-0.03
05/07/2026	5th	5/4	93%	20%	-0.73
30/07/2026	3rd	13/2	66%	50%	-0.16
20/08/2026	2nd	9/2	76%	86%	+0.09
10/09/2026	4th	5/2	87%	57%	-0.30