7

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4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 61
Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength91%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/06/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 25/06/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |