5
Foresters Lastlove
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 70
Woodbine · Race 3 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +14.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |