Toronto City
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 3 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
46%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 31/08/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 21/09/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |