7
Breezero
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 91
Woodbine · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 06/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |