Foresters Exec
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 05/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |