2
Justine
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +11.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 10% | -0.64 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |