Scary Speedy
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-27 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 12/10/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 02/11/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |