IvyArcIvyArc
6

Super Sicily

6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 88

Woodbine · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength2%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Gulfstream 15/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 95 · 5f Fas 123 · below its mark15/01/2026 · OR 95 par15/01C7OR 95C7 @ Gulfstream 12/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 93 · 5f110y 121 · below its mark12/02/2026 · OR 93 parC6 @ Gulfstream 20/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 94 · 7f110y 121 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 94 par20/03C6OR 94C6 @ Woodbine 18/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 87 · 5f 123 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 87 parC8 @ Woodbine 15/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 90 · 6f 123 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 90 par15/05C8OR 90C8 @ Woodbine 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 88 · 6f110y Fas 123 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 88 parC6 @ Woodbine 25/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 88 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 88 par25/06C6OR 88C8 @ Woodbine 06/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 85 parC6 @ Woodbine 29/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 86 · 6f110y Fm 123 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 86 par29/08C6OR 86projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Woodbine?1st1st0
2026-08-06Woodbine?2nd4th−2
2026-06-25Woodbine?6th6th0
2026-06-06Woodbine?1st3rd−2
2026-05-15Woodbine?2nd4th−2
2026-04-18Woodbine?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0118/0425/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength56%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/01/20262nd20/10%80%+0.80
12/02/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19
20/03/20264th6/168%25%-0.43
18/04/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
15/05/20262nd9/488%80%-0.08
06/06/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
25/06/20266th8/158%17%-0.41
06/08/20262nd7/282%88%+0.06
29/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18