4
Wooten Warrior
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Fair Grounds | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 27% | -0.52 |
| 18/01/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 14/02/2026 | 12th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |