Faber
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 109
Woodbine · Race 5 - Grand Valley Stakes · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 28/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 08/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 06/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |