3
Paramount Prince
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 108
Woodbine · Race 5 - Grand Valley Stakes · 1m 1f
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
78%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength63%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | -4th | +4 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 4th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 20/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/11/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 30/11/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |