1
Rapid Test
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 110
Woodbine · Race 5 - Grand Valley Stakes · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2024 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 15/12/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 28/09/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |