4
Side Street
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 110
Woodbine · Race 5 - Grand Valley Stakes · 1m 1f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2024 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 20/10/2024 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 21/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |