2

Wicked Django

6yo Horse · 8-7 · OR 109

Woodbine · Race 5 - Grand Valley Stakes · 1m 1f

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength60%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Woodbine 27/07/2024 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 102 · 1m110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/07/2024 · OR 102 par27/07C?OR 102C0 @ Woodbine 23/08/2024 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 103 · 1m Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2024 · OR 103 parC6 @ Woodbine 14/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 103 · 1m110y Fas 123 · below its mark14/09/2024 · OR 103 par14/09C6OR 103C6 @ Woodbine 06/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 105 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark06/10/2024 · OR 105 parC0 @ Woodbine 16/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 107 · 1m1f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/11/2024 · OR 107 par16/11C?OR 107C1 @ Woodbine 13/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 108 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/09/2025 · OR 108 parC6 @ Woodbine 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 107 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 107 par13/06C6OR 107C6 @ Woodbine 09/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 108 · 7f Fm 123 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 108 parC5 @ Woodbine 30/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 108 · 1m110y Fas 119 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 108 par30/08C5OR 108projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2026-08-09Woodbine?5th6th−1
2026-06-13Woodbine?2nd3rd−1
2025-09-13Woodbine?7th2nd+4
2024-11-16Woodbine?1st-4th+4
2024-10-06Woodbine?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/076/1013/0630/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength63%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/07/20243rd12/137%71%+0.35
23/08/20244th20/10%50%+0.50
14/09/20242nd5/287%89%+0.02
06/10/20243rd9/276%78%+0.01
16/11/20241st20/10%100%+1.00
13/09/20257th14/126%0%-0.26
13/06/20262nd13/266%86%+0.20
09/08/20265th6/168%56%-0.13
30/08/20262nd15/261%67%+0.06