6

Daddy's Secret
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 6 - Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
87%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |