1

Edey

3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 92

Woodbine · Race 6 - Optional Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Turfway Park 10/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS10/01C6C6 @ Turfway Park 12/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/02/2026 · OR 88 par12/02C6OR 88C6 @ Turfway Park 08/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 83 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 83 par8/03C6OR 83C5 @ Woodbine 25/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 89 · 6f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 89 par25/04C5OR 89C7 @ Churchill Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 87 · 6f 120 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 87 par6/06C7OR 87C6 @ Woodbine 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 91 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 91 par11/07C6OR 91C6 @ Woodbine 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 91 · 1m110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 91 par22/08C6OR 91projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Woodbine?4th3rd+1
2026-07-11Woodbine?2nd1st+1
2026-06-06Churchill Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-04-25Woodbine?4th2nd+2
2026-03-08Turfway Park?4th3rd+1
2026-02-12Turfway Park?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0125/0422/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%

Delivery trend -8.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/01/20263rd11/271%80%+0.09
12/02/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
08/03/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
25/04/20264th6/168%50%-0.18
06/06/20263rd15/261%67%+0.06
11/07/20262nd9/276%86%+0.09
22/08/20264th13/891%25%-0.66