One Shot Scott

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 69

Woodbine · Race 6 - Optional Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +0.5

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-07	Fort Erie	?	6th	4th	+2	6.4
2026-08-22	Woodbine	?	1st	1st	0	9.0
2026-08-01	Woodbine	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-07-04	Woodbine	?	9th	9th	0	1.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +17.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
04/07/2026	9th	10/1	47%	0%	-0.47
01/08/2026	3rd	25/1	0%	75%	+0.75
22/08/2026	1st	10/1	47%	100%	+0.53
07/09/2026	6th	20/1	0%	17%	+0.17