7
Velocita
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 68
Woodbine · Race 6 - Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/12/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |