El Kabong
8yo Horse · 8-10 · OR 100
Woodbine · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 2f
#10
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 15/11/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 18/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |