Exude
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 96
Woodbine · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 2f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 08/12/2024 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 31/05/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 22/06/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 29% | -0.54 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |