Legal Catch
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 100
Woodbine · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 2f
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 02/08/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 06/09/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/10/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 21/11/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |