Malibu Mambo
9yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 92
Woodbine · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 2f
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-01-25 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-11-20 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 13/09/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 26/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 20/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 25/01/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |