Offlee Naughty
8yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 108
Woodbine · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 2f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 3rd | +6 |
| 2024-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2024-06-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | -2th | +6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2023 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 23/03/2024 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 04/05/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 16/06/2024 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 22/08/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 24/01/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |