7
One More Brew
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 99
Woodbine · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 2f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |