1
Stratus
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 95
Woodbine · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 2f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 21/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |